Just in Case it Matters to You
Weekly Report 20-85
- INDEFINATELY WORKING FROM HOME” has just been announced by Microsoft as an option to employees, along with option for a hybrid half-time office work week, “as long as their job doesn’t require in-person work, like hardware engineers… now allowing employees to live anywhere in the U.S., even when it would be safe to return to the office.”
- A REMINDER: MOST ELECTION POLLS ARE GARBAGE, combining manipulation with propaganda via: (1) Opt-in-Polls – where respondents can seek out, be solicited, or even paid to participate; (2) Cross-tab/ Methodology – filtering of how people with certain demographic who answered one question one way will answer another more desirably; (3) Non-registered or Ineligible voters – totally irrelevant; (4) Incorrect Sampling – based on disproportionate subsection; (5) Respondent Fatigue – when people give answers just to get away; (6) Actual voter decisions – which can change in minutes, based on what they last heard. Advice: Be practical, un-swayed by media or personality, and focused on the likely outcome of Platforms with a likelihood of follow through. [RED STATE – 9/8/20]
- WHILE U.S. STOCK MARKET LEVELS REMAIN HIGH, they are not a prominent factor in global economic forecasts which remain relatively low. Beyond the profound impacts of recovery from the pandemic, downside risk uncertainties have become so broad as to make predictions within rational ranges increasingly unreliable. Principal factors are: (1) Weather-related risks – increasing frequency in tropical storms, hurricanes, drought, heatwaves, wildfires & floods which endanger health and economic outcomes; (2) Intensifying social unrest – erosion of trust in established institutions & reliability of information (from politicians & media), governing process, structures & integrity; (3) Election results with potentially major changes in America’s strategic direction; and (4) Rising international political tensions & friction – from disrupted oil supply, higher tariff barriers, imperiled supply chains, ‘protectionist acts’ impacting business investment. American businesses are headed forward in totally uncharted territory, and reality-based business strategy has never been more critical; DCG have decades of experience in strategic guidance. Call us for courtesy consultation. [IMF WORLD OUTLOOK REPORT]
- “WE’RE ENTERING A NEW AGE OF GLOBAL DISORDER in a world without American Overwatch…as nations have gotten so accustomed to the ‘normal’ of an American-dominated order, the historical norm has been forgotten: several smaller competing power and economic systems throughout Europe & Asia… We are entering a period of chaos from emerging shifts and resulting problems that will arise in the next two decades, as the global world order continues to crumble. This essentially began with drawdown of military troop levels during the last few decades, as Americans lost interest in being the global policeman/ security guarantor/ referee/ financier/ and market of last resort… while our ‘allies’ have continued to chip away at American preeminence in global trade, finance and vision of human freedom… Those Alliances were the foundation FOR the New World Order after WWII, fostered by America to allow nations safety & continuity to develop economies of scale for their transition to modern world conditions (energy, agriculture, finance, manufacturing, disease prevention, education, democracy, lifespan, child mortality, etc.) – without asking anything in exchange beyond such alliances to face down the soviet vision of Empire.” A brilliant analysis about the pending scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World: DISUNITED NATIONS – by Peter Zeihan
- THOUGHTS FOR THE WEEK:
“Political Correctness is Communist propaganda, intended not to persuade, convince nor inform, but to humiliate; and therefore, the less it corresponded to reality the better. When people are forced to remain silent when being told the most obvious lies, or even worse when they are forced to repeat the lies themselves, they lose once and for all their sense of probity. To assent to obvious lies is to co-operate with evil, and in some small way to become evil oneself. One’s standing to resist anything is thus eroded, and even destroyed. A society of emasculated liars is easy to control. I think if you examine political correctness, it has the same effect and is intended.” [Theodore Dalrymple]
Our observable Universe is inconceivably large. For an astonishing and understandable presentation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iy7NzjCmUf0&feature=youtu.be